🚨 Catron, NM: Flash Flood Warning issued October 22 at 11:30PM MDT until October 23 at 2:00AM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM 🚨 Montgomery: None 🚨 San Juan, UT: Flood Warning issued October 22 at 11:18PM MDT until October 23 at 1:30AM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO 🚨 Southern Nassau: Coastal Flood Statement issued October 23 at 1:15AM EDT until October 23 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY 🚨 Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI; Manistee to Point Betsie MI: Dense Fog Advisory issued October 23 at 1:13AM EDT until October 23 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI 🚨 Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island; 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island; Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary; Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI; Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge; Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay; Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI; Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI: Dense Fog Advisory issued October 23 at 1:13AM EDT until October 23 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI 🚨 Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI; Black River To Ontonagon MI: Dense Fog Advisory issued October 23 at 1:10AM EDT until October 23 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Marquette MI 🚨 Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island Passage; Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI; 5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage: Dense Fog Advisory issued October 23 at 1:10AM EDT until October 23 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Marquette MI 🚨 Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand Portage MN beyond 5NM; Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle Royale National Park; Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border: Dense Fog Advisory issued October 23 at 1:10AM EDT until October 23 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Marquette MI 🚨 Tampa Bay waters; Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound; Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM: Small Craft Advisory issued October 23 at 1:08AM EDT until October 28 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Active Tropical Systems & Formation Outlook
A whole-basin summary of all active tropical cyclones and the NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook, generated with the
tropycal
package. Select a storm below for its official forecast and model guidance.
ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102026
500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2026
The convective cloud pattern of Josephine now resembles that of a
warm frontal band, with little evidence of tropical-cyclone like
curvature. In addition, the circulation center is becoming
elongated and cold-air clouds are increasing in the southern
semicircle. Based on these developments and the earlier
scatterometer pass showing a developing frontal boundary, Josephine
has become an extratropical cyclone. The initial intensity is set
at 55 kt, and this could be conservative.
The initial motion is now faster toward the northeast or 055/15 kt.
Josephine should move generally northeastward with some increase
in forward speed tonight, followed by an eastward turn as it
becomes well embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. On the
forecast track, the center of Josephine will move away from the New
England states this evening and pass south of Nova Scotia and
Newfoundland tonight and Saturday. The guidance is again tightly
clustered, and the new forecast track is similar to the previous
forecast.
Josephine is expected to strengthen as an extratropical low tonight
due to the influence of an amplifying mid- to upper-level trough
over eastern Canada and the New England states, with winds reaching
hurricane force. After tonight the global dynamical models are in
good agreement that the cyclone should steadily weaken, and they
forecast Josephine to dissipate by 72 h as it is absorbed by a new
low pressure area developing to its northeast. The new intensity
forecast is based mainly on the global models and again has only
minor adjustments from the last forecast. The wind radii forecasts
have also been revised based on the global model forecasts.
This will be the last advisory on Josephine issued by the National
Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Please also see products from local National Weather Service
offices and Environment Canada for more information regarding the
effects of Josephine in coastal areas.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 40.0N 65.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 23/0600Z 41.3N 62.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 23/1800Z 42.9N 58.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 24/0600Z 43.5N 55.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/1800Z 43.8N 52.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 25/0600Z 43.6N 48.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN
ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Storm Vance Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026
900 PM CST Thu Oct 22 2026
Satellite imagery indicates that Vance continues to become better
organized, with an expanding Central Dense Overcast, a well-defined
curved convective band wrapping into the circulation from the south,
and cloud-top temperatures as cold as -85 C. Upper-level outflow
remains well established, and recent microwave imagery reveals an
improvement in the inner-core structure compared to several hours
ago. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimate from TAFB was
T4.0/65 kt, in good agreement with UW-CIMSS objective estimates
ranging from 55 to 65 kt. Given these estimates and the continued
improvement in satellite presentation, the initial intensity is
raised to a conservative 60 kt.
Vance has turned northwestward, and the initial motion is estimated
at 325/5 kt. The cyclone should continue moving northwestward along
the southwestern periphery of a mid-level ridge extending over
Mexico into early Friday. A gradual turn toward the north-northwest
is expected during the next couple of days as the ridge weakens in
response to an upper-level trough over the southwestern United
States. The latest track guidance remains in good agreement through
about 60 h. Thereafter, the trough is expected to shift eastward,
leaving Vance in a region of weaker steering currents and resulting
in increasing spread among the guidance solutions. The regional
hurricane models and GFS favor a more westward track away from the
coast between days 4 and 5, while the GDMI, HCCA, TVCN, and ECMWF
maintain a more north-northwestward track toward the southwestern
and west-central coast of Mexico. Given these persistent differences
in the extended guidance, the NHC track forecast is largely
unchanged from the previous prediction and remains close to the GDMI
and HCCA aids.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain favorable for
significant strengthening during the next couple of days,
characterized by warm sea surface temperatures, low vertical wind
shear, and plenty of mid-level moisture. Guidance continues to
indicate a high likelihood of rapid intensification (RI), with
probabilities from the GFS- and ECMWF-based statistical guidance
reaching 65 to 80 percent during the next 24 h, well above
climatological values. Accordingly, the NHC intensity forecast
explicitly calls for RI during the next 24 h, with Vance forecast to
become a major hurricane by early Saturday. Thereafter, the cyclone
could encounter relatively cooler waters, potentially influenced by
upwelling associated with recent tropical cyclones, along with
increasing vertical wind shear. These factors should limit further
strengthening and support gradual weakening beginning around 60 h.
The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous prediction and
remains near the upper end of the guidance envelope through much of
the forecast period.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 23/0300Z 10.5N 101.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 10.9N 102.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 11.7N 102.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 12.5N 103.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 25/0000Z 13.6N 103.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 25/1200Z 14.7N 103.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 26/0000Z 15.7N 104.1W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 27/0000Z 16.7N 104.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 28/0000Z 17.3N 104.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
HAFS and GEFS guidance is only available for storms in the US/NHC domain (Atlantic & East/Central Pacific). For this system, the basin summary and best-track position are shown.
WDPN32 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 29W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 035//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
SUMMARY:
INITIAL POSITION: 22.7N 123.8E
INITIAL INTENSITY: 90 KTS
GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 316 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB
MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KTS
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 40 FEET
SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN EXPANDING
AND INCREASINGLY CLOUD FILLED EYE ENCLOSED BY DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS
SHOWN A BRIEF RESURGENCE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 222339Z WSFM 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE CONFIRMED THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS NEARLY CLOSED
OFF THE EYEWALL, SAVE FOR THE NORTHERN EDGE. A 222130Z PARTIAL RCM-3
SAR PASS CONFIRMED THE EXPANSIVE 50 KT WIND RADII IN THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, WITH A 97 KT VMAX PEAK. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 90 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE SAR
ANALYSIS, T5.0-5.5 AGENCY DVORAK FIXES, AND THE SPREAD OF CIMSS
OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED AS
MARGINAL WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND EXCELLENT OUTFLOW
BEING OFFSET BY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOWER OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT, AND COLD WATER UPWELLING.
INITIAL WIND RADII BASIS: PERSISTENCE SUPPLEMENTED BY A PARTIAL
RCM-3 SAR PASS
CURRENT STEERING MECHANISM: SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) CENTERED TO THE SOUTH OF HONSHU.
AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
PGTW: T5.0 - 90 KTS
RJTD: T5.5 - 102 KTS
RCTP: T5.0 - 90 KTS
CIMSS ADT: 99 KTS AT 230010Z
CIMSS AIDT: 86 KTS AT 230010Z
CIMSS D-PRINT: 88 KTS AT 230010Z
FORECASTER ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: MARGINAL
VWS: 5-10 KTS
SST: 28-29 CELSIUS
OUTFLOW: STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD
OTHER FACTORS: COLD WATER UPWELLING
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE:
INITIAL POSITION: HIGH
INITIAL INTENSITY: HIGH
INITIAL WIND RADII: MEDIUM
3. FORECAST REASONING.
SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES: THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING.
FORECAST DISCUSSION: TY 29W (CHAMPI) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE AXIS OF THE STEERING RIDGE
CENTERED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING
POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, PASSING ABOUT 65 NM EAST OF TAIPEI
AROUND TAU 18. THE TRACK TURNS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH TAU 60 AS
THE SYSTEM ROUNDS THE RIDGE AXIS. AFTER TAU 60, THE TRACK ACCELERATES
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD KYUSHU, WHERE LANDFALL IS EXPECTED
APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTH OF SASEBO. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO
STEADILY WEAKEN THROUGH TAU 36, THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VWS
AND COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT)
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BETWEEN TAU 60 AND 72, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY
TAU 96. AS A RESULT OF THE STEADY WEAKENING AND ETT, THE INTENSITY AS
IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER KYUSHU IS PROJECTED TO BE 30 KTS OR LESS.
MODEL DISCUSSION: MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT
ABOUT THE RECURVE SCENARIO, WITH A CROSS-TRACK SPREAD OF ABOUT 100 NM
AT TAU 96, EXCEPTING ECMWF AND GFS AS NORTHERN OUTLIERS. THE ALONG-
TRACK SPREAD HAS IMPROVED SINCE THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUN, WITH MOST OF
THE AI MODELS NOW DEPICTING A SLOWER, MORE REALISTIC TRACK SPEED IN
THE LATER TAUS. THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS PLACED BETWEEN THE MULTI-
MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND SOLUTIONS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE
WEAKENING TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THE JTWC INTENSITY
FORECAST IS PLACED SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE CONSENSUS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
TRA…
HAFS and GEFS guidance is only available for storms in the US/NHC domain (Atlantic & East/Central Pacific). For this system, the basin summary and best-track position are shown.
AGUEDA
(SH022027)
Type: TSMax Wind: 35 ktMin Pressure: 1003 hPaPosition: -5.8, 50.0Basin: South Indian
HAFS and GEFS guidance is only available for storms in the US/NHC domain (Atlantic & East/Central Pacific). For this system, the basin summary and best-track position are shown.
WDXS31 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AGUEDA) WARNING
NR 006//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
SUMMARY:
INITIAL POSITION: 6.7S 49.7E
INITIAL INTENSITY: 50 KTS
GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 620 NM EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA
MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KTS
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 15 FEET
SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
COMPACT CYCLONE WITH DETERIORATING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. A 221451Z WSFM 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED THAT THE
LOWER LEVEL STRUCTURE IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ONLY A FEW WEAK
CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING IN TOWARD THE CENTER ON THE EASTERN
FLANK. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED
ON TRACING LOW CLOUDS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC IN ANIMATED
EIR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE WIDE SPREAD OF OBJECTIVE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
AND THE DEGRADING SATELLITE PRESENTATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED AS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, DECENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE
MID-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS).
INITIAL WIND RADII BASIS: PERSISTENCE
CURRENT STEERING MECHANISM: NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST.
AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
PGTW: T2.5 - 35 KTS
FMEE: T3.5 - 55 KTS
CIMSS ADT: 51 KTS AT 221800Z
CIMSS AIDT: 60 KTS AT 221700Z
CIMSS D-MINT: 23 KTS AT 221918Z
CIMSS D-PRINT: 30 KTS AT 221900Z
FORECASTER ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
VWS: 5-10 KTS
SST: 26-27 CELSIUS
OUTFLOW: MODERATE POLEWARD
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE:
INITIAL POSITION: MEDIUM
INITIAL INTENSITY: LOW
INITIAL WIND RADII: MEDIUM
3. FORECAST REASONING.
SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES: THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING.
FORECAST DISCUSSION: TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
OF THE STR POSITIONED OVER SOUTHERN AFRICA. THE TRACK IS FORECAST
TO TURN ALMOST DUE WEST FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THAN WEST-NORTHWEST
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
CALLS FOR STEADY WEAKENING UNTIL DISSIPATION OVER WATER BY 72 IN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VWS.
MODEL DISCUSSION: MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
ABOUT THE WESTWARD TRACK, ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE MODELS LOSE TRACK OF
THE VORTEX ALTOGETHER AFTER TAU 36. THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST IS
PLACED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE
STEADY WEAKENING TREND WITH NO NOTABLE OUTLIERS. THE JTWC INTENSITY
FORECAST FOLLOWS THE CONSENSUS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
TRACK 00-72 HR: HIGH
INTENSITY 00-72 HR: HIGH//
NNNN
ECMWF 10-m Streamlines
This map visualizes near-surface winds from the ECMWF operational model using streamlines — continuous curves that show the direction of the wind at every point. Streamlines help us visually detect patterns of atmospheric flow, such as jets, troughs, and areas of rotation.
Forecasters at the NHC monitor 10-meter wind fields for signs of a closed low-level circulation — a common feature of early tropical cyclone formation. When streamlines wrap into a tight, circular pattern and form a closed loop, it may signal that a system is transitioning from a disorganized disturbance into a structured cyclone.
This early organization of wind flow is a key threshold in classifying an area as a potential tropical cyclone. While other ingredients like convection and mid-level humidity are also necessary, closed low-level circulation is often the first structural milestone forecasters look for.
Look for small, circular loops in the streamlines over oceanic regions — especially where other environmental factors also align for storm formation.
ECMWF Predictions
No active storm found in ECMWF data at this time.
Environmental Indicators
Hypothetical TC Drift Paths
This map displays hypothetical tropical cyclone (TC) paths projected from genesis-favorable zones identified by an environmental mask. These paths are computed using the Emanuel Beta and Advection Model, a physically based framework that estimates the motion of nascent cyclones by combining steering-level winds and planetary rotation effects.
The model blends winds from two critical pressure levels — 850 hPa (lower troposphere) and 250 hPa (upper troposphere) — weighted toward the lower level where most of a tropical cyclone's mass resides. It also incorporates a background component associated with beta drift, which arises from the variation of the Coriolis force with latitude.
Each pink trajectory represents a storm initialized from a grid cell where all five environmental thresholds were favorable: high CAPE, low vertical wind shear, high mid-level humidity, warm SSTs, and positive low-level vorticity. Arrows darken with time, tracing the cyclone’s evolution in 6-hour steps. These tracks can move over land given the steering winds, but in reality these storms weaken quickly when no longer over warm water. This means the tracks that move over significant would likely die out quickly and are not well represented in this model.
Hypothetical storms often drift westward and poleward, steered by large-scale tropical flow and Earth's rotation — this helps forecasters anticipate where early-stage disturbances might evolve into organized storms.
Pressure & Rainfall (hPa)
This chart shows 24-hour forecasts of surface pressure (in hPa) and precipitation (in mm) for select U.S. cities.
The data comes from the Open-Meteo API,
which sources its predictions from high-resolution numerical weather models like ICON (from the German Weather Service)
and ECMWF's IFS. These are advanced general circulation models (GCMs) that solve physical equations governing the
atmosphere — including thermodynamics, fluid motion, and radiation — to simulate and forecast future states of weather.
A sudden drop in pressure may signal the approach of a developing storm system. Increasing rainfall intensity often
tracks with tropical activity or frontal systems. These paired indicators help visualize evolving atmospheric instability and potential hazards.
NBDC Gulf Buoy Data
This data comes from the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC), a division of NOAA responsible for monitoring ocean
and atmospheric conditions using moored buoys, coastal stations, and drifting floats. These sensors play a vital role in
tracking tropical cyclone development by recording variables like wind speed,
barometric pressure, air & sea surface temperatures, and wave height — all of which
help determine storm structure and intensification.
A sudden drop in sea-level pressure or a spike in wind gusts can signal rapid cyclone strengthening.
Water temperature above ~26°C is a key fuel source for tropical cyclones. Wave and swell height give insight
into the storm’s reach and energy transfer across the ocean. Monitoring these in real time helps improve forecasts and early warnings.
Wind: NE (50°), 15.5 kt | Gust: 17.5 kt
Pressure: 30.05 steady | Air Temp: 79.0 °F
Water Temp: 81.9 °F | Dew Point: 65.5 °F
Swell: 1.3 ft | Wind Wave: 3.3 ft
NWS U.S. Radar
The National Weather Service (NWS) collects radar data using the NEXRAD (Next Generation Radar) network —
a nationwide system of over 150 high-resolution Doppler radar stations. Radar works by emitting pulses of energy
that bounce off precipitation (like raindrops, hail, or snow) and return to the radar dish. Doppler radar not only detects the
location and intensity of storms, but also their motion — by measuring shifts in frequency caused by movement of particles toward
or away from the radar site. This allows meteorologists to spot rotating storms and potential tornadoes in real time.
GOES 15-min Satellite
The GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite) system is operated by NOAA
and provides continuous weather observation over the Americas. Orbiting 22,300 miles above Earth,
GOES satellites deliver high-resolution imagery every 15 minutes, helping track tropical systems, cloud formation,
and atmospheric motion in real time. The Geocolor imagery shown here combines visible and infrared data
to highlight clouds, land, and sea in a natural-looking format.
GOES Band 13 – Infrared (IR) Imagery
Band 13 (10.3 µm) is one of the most important infrared channels for tropical meteorology, measuring emitted radiation from cloud tops.
Colder colors (red, yellow) signal deep convection, where strong thunderstorms punch through the upper atmosphere.
These features often indicate the early stages of tropical cyclone formation.
Most recent GOES Band 13 image. Provided by NOAA/NESDIS/STAR.
